Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid
Southpaw · Ex-Fight
Nakamura’s profileTale of the tape
How they win
Nakamura
8 wins on file
- KO/TKO
- 7
- Submission
- 0
- Decision
- 1
Schmid
4 wins on file
- KO/TKO
- 3
- Submission
- 0
- Decision
- 1
Career averages
How these figures are measured
- Sig. strikes landed per minute
- Significant strikes landed, divided by minutes fought. Career figure.
- Strike accuracy, all strikes
- Every strike landed as a share of every strike thrown, significant or not, over the career. ESPN's own figure. It is not significant-strike accuracy, which runs lower.
- Takedowns per 15 minutes
- Takedowns landed for every 15 minutes fought, the length of a three-round bout. Career figure.
- Takedown accuracy
- Takedowns landed as a share of those attempted. Career figure.
- Submission attempts per 15 minutes
- Submission attempts for every 15 minutes fought. Career figure.
- Finish rate
- Share of the wins on file that ended by knockout, technical knockout or submission.
- Days since last fight
- From the last bout on file to the date of this one.
Records, measurements and career averages are reported by ESPN. The UFC record, last fight, finish rate and win methods are counted by Statwell from the bouts on file for each fighter, which can be fewer than the full professional record. An average is only compared when both fighters have one.
Matchup snapshot
Nakamura
1 measured UFC bout, 13.8 minutes
Schmid
1 measured UFC bout, 2.8 minutes
- 3.2645 landed of 119 thrown (38%)
- Significant strikes landedper minute
- 3.219 landed of 30 thrown (30%)
- 5.72opponents landed 79 of 204
- Significant strikes absorbedper minute
- 7.86opponents landed 22 of 40
- None tried
- Takedowns completedof those attempted
- None tried
- 0%conceded 1 of 1 faced
- Takedowns defendedof those faced
- None faced
- 1scored, 0 suffered
- Knockdownsscored and suffered
- 0scored, 1 suffered
About these statistics
Counted by Statwell from ESPN’s per-bout figures over each fighter’s measured UFC bouts. Small samples move quickly: read each figure with the number of bouts behind it. Nothing here is adjusted for the level of past opponents.
Recent form
Keiichiro Nakamura
1-0 in last 1- W
vs Sebastian Szalay
KO/TKO · R3 · 3:48
· UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sig. strikes 45 of 119 · 1 knockdown
Ollie Schmid
0-1 in last 1- L
vs Marwan Rahiki
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:47
· UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Sig. strikes 9 of 30
Statwell Intel
The full analysis is published.
A southpaw with seven KO/TKO wins meets a 25-year-old whose UFC debut ended in round 1 on short notice. With one UFC fight each by ESPN's count, which one gets to set the range?
Editorially ReviewedReviewed by the Statwell editorial team.Published
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Statwell's Verdict
Which fighter our analysis favors, how clear the edge is, and the strongest counterargument.
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Style matchup
Category by category: striking, wrestling, grappling, pace, durability and experience, with the reasoning behind each edge.
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Tactical style clash
How the two styles meet, the scenarios the fight can follow and the factor most likely to swing it.
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Context flags
Layoffs, short notice, weight, camp and stakes, each sourced and dated.
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Trend splits
Recent bouts against career figures, with sample sizes, and what the shifts mean.
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Tactical evidence
Tactical notes, each labelled by how it is known, and why it matters in this matchup.
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Paths through the fight
What each fighter needs the fight to become, and where that plan can fail.
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Research summary
The factors that matter most, the open questions and a balanced synthesis.
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Performance vs Expectations
See how each fighter performed in past UFC bouts as a favourite, underdog or in a close matchup.
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