UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan

Fight completed

Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope

Featherweight · 3 rounds · Prelims · Bout 7 of 12Meta APEX · Las Vegas, NV

Dakota Hope def. Francis Marshall · Decision - Split · Round 3, 5:00

Francis Marshall portrait

Francis Marshall

Dakota Hope portrait

Dakota Hope

Francis Marshall versus Dakota Hope

“Fire”

Orthodox · Freestyle · American Top Team

Marshall’s profile

“Huracán”

Orthodox · 4oz Fight Club

Hope’s profile

Tale of the tape

MarshallHope
10-4-0Pro record12-2-0
4-3-0UFC record0-1-0
27Age29
5' 9"Height5' 6"
148 lbsWeight145 lbs
72"Reach67"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
FreestyleStyleNot available
American Top TeamTeam4oz Fight Club
Won vs Lucas BrennanLast fightLost vs Kai Kamaka III
189Days since last fight210
60%Finish rate55%

How they win

Marshall

10 wins on file

KO/TKO
1
Submission
5
Decision
4

Hope

11 wins on file

KO/TKO
5
Submission
1
Decision
5
How these figures are measured
Sig. strikes landed per minute
Significant strikes landed, divided by minutes fought. Career figure.
Strike accuracy, all strikes
Every strike landed as a share of every strike thrown, significant or not, over the career. ESPN's own figure. It is not significant-strike accuracy, which runs lower.
Takedowns per 15 minutes
Takedowns landed for every 15 minutes fought, the length of a three-round bout. Career figure.
Takedown accuracy
Takedowns landed as a share of those attempted. Career figure.
Submission attempts per 15 minutes
Submission attempts for every 15 minutes fought. Career figure.
Finish rate
Share of the wins on file that ended by knockout, technical knockout or submission.
Days since last fight
From the last bout on file to the date of this one.

Records, measurements and career averages are reported by ESPN. The UFC record, last fight, finish rate and win methods are counted by Statwell from the bouts on file for each fighter, which can be fewer than the full professional record. No striking or grappling averages are available for both fighters yet.

Matchup snapshot

Marshall

7 measured UFC bouts, 73.5 minutes

Hope

1 measured UFC bout, 15.0 minutes

2.34172 landed of 587 thrown (29%)
Significant strikes landedper minute
7.07106 landed of 258 thrown (41%)
3.14opponents landed 231 of 498
Significant strikes absorbedper minute
7.00opponents landed 105 of 159
42%10 of 24 attempts
Takedowns completedof those attempted
33%1 of 3 attempts
89%conceded 1 of 9 faced
Takedowns defendedof those faced
100%conceded 0 of 1 faced
2scored, 0 suffered
Knockdownsscored and suffered
1scored, 0 suffered
About these statistics

Counted by Statwell from ESPN’s per-bout figures over each fighter’s measured UFC bouts. Small samples move quickly: read each figure with the number of bouts behind it. Nothing here is adjusted for the level of past opponents.

Recent form

Francis Marshall

3-2 in last 5
  • W

    vs Lucas Brennan

    Decision - Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal

    Sig. strikes 33 of 69 · Takedowns 2 of 3

  • W

    vs Erik Silva

    Submission · R1 · 2:29

    · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh

    Sig. strikes 3 of 5 · Takedowns 1 of 2

  • L

    vs Mairon Santos

    Decision - Split · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev

    Sig. strikes 39 of 143 · Takedowns 3 of 5

  • W

    vs Dennis Buzukja

    Decision - Split · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho

    Sig. strikes 57 of 150 · Takedowns 1 of 6 · 1 knockdown

  • L

    vs Isaac Dulgarian

    KO/TKO · R1 · 4:48

    · UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos

    Sig. strikes 2 of 7

Dakota Hope

0-1 in last 1
  • L

    vs Kai Kamaka III

    Decision - Split · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan

    Sig. strikes 106 of 258 · Takedowns 1 of 3 · 1 knockdown

Statwell Intel

The full analysis is published.

Francis Marshall has the reach and seven UFC bouts; Dakota Hope, reported to have replaced Gastón Bolaños, has one UFC bout and a high output. Who gets to fight the bout they want?

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  1. Style matchup

    Category by category: striking, wrestling, grappling, pace, durability and experience, with the reasoning behind each edge.

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  2. Tactical style clash

    How the two styles meet, the scenarios the fight can follow and the factor most likely to swing it.

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  3. Context flags

    Layoffs, short notice, weight, camp and stakes, each sourced and dated.

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  4. Trend splits

    Recent bouts against career figures, with sample sizes, and what the shifts mean.

    Available with Intel

  5. Tactical evidence

    Tactical notes, each labelled by how it is known, and why it matters in this matchup.

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  6. Paths through the fight

    What each fighter needs the fight to become, and where that plan can fail.

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  7. Research summary

    The factors that matter most, the open questions and a balanced synthesis.

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  8. Performance vs Expectations

    See how each fighter performed in past UFC bouts as a favourite, underdog or in a close matchup.

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