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Gabriel Lorenço vs Thomas Petersen

Heavyweight · 3 rounds · Prelims · Bout 7 of 14Meta APEX · Las Vegas, NV
Gabriel Lorenço portrait

Gabriel Lorenço

Thomas Petersen portrait

Thomas Petersen

Gabriel Lorenço versus Thomas Petersen

“Black Mamba”

Orthodox · Chute Boxe

Lorenço’s profile

“The Train”

Southpaw · Boxing · Minnesota Top Team

Petersen’s profile

Tale of the tape

LorençoPetersen
8-1-0Pro record11-5-0
Not availableUFC record3-4-0
27Age31
6' 2"Height6' 1"
229 lbsWeight245 lbs
76"Reach74"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
Not availableStyleBoxing
Chute BoxeTeamMinnesota Top Team
Won vs Charlie ClevelandLast fightLost vs Valter Walker
67Days since last fight105
88%Finish rate73%

How they win

Lorenço

8 wins on file

KO/TKO
6
Submission
1
Decision
1

Petersen

11 wins on file

KO/TKO
7
Submission
1
Decision
3

Career averages

9.84Sig. strikes landed per min3.04
49%Strike accuracy, all strikes71%
0.00Takedowns per 15 min2.95
0.00Submission attempts per 15 min0.37
How these figures are measured
Sig. strikes landed per minute
Significant strikes landed, divided by minutes fought. Career figure.
Strike accuracy, all strikes
Every strike landed as a share of every strike thrown, significant or not, over the career. ESPN's own figure. It is not significant-strike accuracy, which runs lower.
Takedowns per 15 minutes
Takedowns landed for every 15 minutes fought, the length of a three-round bout. Career figure.
Takedown accuracy
Takedowns landed as a share of those attempted. Career figure.
Submission attempts per 15 minutes
Submission attempts for every 15 minutes fought. Career figure.
Finish rate
Share of the wins on file that ended by knockout, technical knockout or submission.
Days since last fight
From the last bout on file to the date of this one.

Records, measurements and career averages are reported by ESPN. The UFC record, last fight, finish rate and win methods are counted by Statwell from the bouts on file for each fighter, which can be fewer than the full professional record. An average is only compared when both fighters have one.

Matchup snapshot

Lorenço

No measured UFC bout

Petersen

7 measured UFC bouts, 75.2 minutes

Not on file
Significant strikes landedper minute
2.99225 landed of 386 thrown (58%)
Not on file
Significant strikes absorbedper minute
2.58opponents landed 194 of 438
Not on file
Takedowns completedof those attempted
37%13 of 35 attempts
Not on file
Takedowns defendedof those faced
86%conceded 1 of 7 faced
Not on file
Knockdownsscored and suffered
1scored, 3 suffered
About these statistics

Counted by Statwell from ESPN’s per-bout figures over each fighter’s measured UFC bouts. Small samples move quickly: read each figure with the number of bouts behind it. Nothing here is adjusted for the level of past opponents.

Recent form

Gabriel Lorenço

No completed UFC bout on file.

Thomas Petersen

2-3 in last 5
  • L

    vs Valter Walker

    Submission · R1 · 1:32

    · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

    Sig. strikes 0 of 1 · Takedowns 0 of 1

  • W

    vs Guilherme Pat

    Decision - Majority · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan

    Sig. strikes 28 of 41 · Takedowns 0 of 5 · 1 knockdown

  • L

    vs Vitor Petrino

    KO/TKO · R3 · 0:26

    · UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

    Sig. strikes 16 of 35 · Takedowns 0 of 8

  • W

    vs Don'Tale Mayes

    Decision - Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo

    Sig. strikes 28 of 51 · Takedowns 9 of 9

  • L

    vs Shamil Gaziev

    KO/TKO · R1 · 3:12

    · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov

    Sig. strikes 19 of 34 · Takedowns 1 of 1

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A UFC debutant with a knockout record meets a replacement heavyweight whose wrestling has stalled. Which phase of the fight does each man need?

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  1. Statwell's Verdict

    Which fighter our analysis favors, how clear the edge is, and the strongest counterargument.

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  2. Style matchup

    Category by category: striking, wrestling, grappling, pace, durability and experience, with the reasoning behind each edge.

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  3. Tactical style clash

    How the two styles meet, the scenarios the fight can follow and the factor most likely to swing it.

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  4. Context flags

    Layoffs, short notice, weight, camp and stakes, each sourced and dated.

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  5. Trend splits

    Recent bouts against career figures, with sample sizes, and what the shifts mean.

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  6. Tactical evidence

    Tactical notes, each labelled by how it is known, and why it matters in this matchup.

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  7. Paths through the fight

    What each fighter needs the fight to become, and where that plan can fail.

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  8. Research summary

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  9. Performance vs Expectations

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