Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando
Orthodox · Rizzo RVT
Fernando’s profileTale of the tape
How they win
Elekana
10 wins on file
- KO/TKO
- 3
- Submission
- 3
- Decision
- 4
Fernando
14 wins on file
- KO/TKO
- 8
- Submission
- 2
- Decision
- 4
Career averages
How these figures are measured
- Sig. strikes landed per minute
- Significant strikes landed, divided by minutes fought. Career figure.
- Strike accuracy, all strikes
- Every strike landed as a share of every strike thrown, significant or not, over the career. ESPN's own figure. It is not significant-strike accuracy, which runs lower.
- Takedowns per 15 minutes
- Takedowns landed for every 15 minutes fought, the length of a three-round bout. Career figure.
- Takedown accuracy
- Takedowns landed as a share of those attempted. Career figure.
- Submission attempts per 15 minutes
- Submission attempts for every 15 minutes fought. Career figure.
- Finish rate
- Share of the wins on file that ended by knockout, technical knockout or submission.
- Days since last fight
- From the last bout on file to the date of this one.
Records, measurements and career averages are reported by ESPN. The UFC record, last fight, finish rate and win methods are counted by Statwell from the bouts on file for each fighter, which can be fewer than the full professional record.
Matchup snapshot
Elekana
4 measured UFC bouts, 35.4 minutes
Fernando
1 measured UFC bout, 11.2 minutes
- 2.7196 landed of 170 thrown (56%)
- Significant strikes landedper minute
- 6.1669 landed of 115 thrown (60%)
- 3.59opponents landed 127 of 236
- Significant strikes absorbedper minute
- 1.16opponents landed 13 of 56
- 22%2 of 9 attempts
- Takedowns completedof those attempted
- None tried
- None faced
- Takedowns defendedof those faced
- 0%conceded 1 of 1 faced
- 1scored, 1 suffered
- Knockdownsscored and suffered
- 2scored, 0 suffered
About these statistics
Counted by Statwell from ESPN’s per-bout figures over each fighter’s measured UFC bouts. Small samples move quickly: read each figure with the number of bouts behind it. Nothing here is adjusted for the level of past opponents.
Recent form
Billy Elekana
3-1 in last 4- W
vs Junior Tafa
Submission · R2 · 3:18
· UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sig. strikes 24 of 51 · Takedowns 1 of 5
- W
vs Kevin Christian
Submission · R1 · 3:33
· UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Sig. strikes 17 of 23 · 1 knockdown
- W
vs Ibo Aslan
Decision - Unanimous · R3 · 5:00
· UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder
Sig. strikes 35 of 68 · Takedowns 0 of 3
- L
vs Bogdan Guskov
Submission · R2 · 3:33
· UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Sig. strikes 20 of 28 · Takedowns 1 of 1
Lucas Fernando
1-0 in last 1- W
vs Rafael Tobias
KO/TKO · R3 · 1:10
· UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Sig. strikes 69 of 115 · 2 knockdowns
Statwell Intel
The full analysis is published.
Billy Elekana has finished two of his last three UFC fights with a choke; Lucas Fernando arrives with a reach lead and striking numbers from one UFC fight.
Editorially ReviewedReviewed by the Statwell editorial team.Published
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Statwell's Verdict
Which fighter our analysis favors, how clear the edge is, and the strongest counterargument.
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Style matchup
Category by category: striking, wrestling, grappling, pace, durability and experience, with the reasoning behind each edge.
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Tactical style clash
How the two styles meet, the scenarios the fight can follow and the factor most likely to swing it.
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Context flags
Layoffs, short notice, weight, camp and stakes, each sourced and dated.
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Trend splits
Recent bouts against career figures, with sample sizes, and what the shifts mean.
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Tactical evidence
Tactical notes, each labelled by how it is known, and why it matters in this matchup.
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Paths through the fight
What each fighter needs the fight to become, and where that plan can fail.
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Research summary
The factors that matter most, the open questions and a balanced synthesis.
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Performance vs Expectations
See how each fighter performed in past UFC bouts as a favourite, underdog or in a close matchup.
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