UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

Fight completed

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev

Lightweight · 3 rounds · Prelims · Bout 6 of 14Etihad Arena · Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Grant Dawson def. Nurullo Aliev · Decision - Unanimous · Round 3, 5:00

Grant Dawson portrait

Grant Dawson

Nurullo Aliev portrait

Nurullo Aliev

Grant Dawson versus Nurullo Aliev

“KGD”

Switch · Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu · American Top Team

Dawson’s profile

“Tajik Eagle”

Orthodox · Freestyle · Kaizen MMA

Aliev’s profile

Tale of the tape

DawsonAliev
25-3-1Pro record12-1-0
12-2-1UFC record4-0-0
32Age25
5' 10"Height5' 10"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
72"Reach72"
SwitchStanceOrthodox
Brazilian Jiu-JitsuStyleFreestyle
American Top TeamTeamKaizen MMA
Won vs Mateusz RębeckiLast fightWon vs Mike Davis
168Days since last fight91
79%Finish rate17%

How they win

Dawson

24 wins on file

KO/TKO
5
Submission
14
Decision
5

Aliev

12 wins on file

KO/TKO
2
Submission
0
Decision
10
How these figures are measured
Sig. strikes landed per minute
Significant strikes landed, divided by minutes fought. Career figure.
Strike accuracy, all strikes
Every strike landed as a share of every strike thrown, significant or not, over the career. ESPN's own figure. It is not significant-strike accuracy, which runs lower.
Takedowns per 15 minutes
Takedowns landed for every 15 minutes fought, the length of a three-round bout. Career figure.
Takedown accuracy
Takedowns landed as a share of those attempted. Career figure.
Submission attempts per 15 minutes
Submission attempts for every 15 minutes fought. Career figure.
Finish rate
Share of the wins on file that ended by knockout, technical knockout or submission.
Days since last fight
From the last bout on file to the date of this one.

Records, measurements and career averages are reported by ESPN. The UFC record, last fight, finish rate and win methods are counted by Statwell from the bouts on file for each fighter, which can be fewer than the full professional record. No striking or grappling averages are available for both fighters yet.

Matchup snapshot

Dawson

15 measured UFC bouts, 169.7 minutes

Aliev

4 measured UFC bouts, 60.0 minutes

3.11528 landed of 1032 thrown (51%)
Significant strikes landedper minute
1.97118 landed of 284 thrown (42%)
2.20opponents landed 374 of 678
Significant strikes absorbedper minute
1.67opponents landed 100 of 226
39%41 of 105 attempts
Takedowns completedof those attempted
58%14 of 24 attempts
70%conceded 3 of 10 faced
Takedowns defendedof those faced
80%conceded 2 of 10 faced
1scored, 3 suffered
Knockdownsscored and suffered
0scored, 0 suffered
About these statistics

Counted by Statwell from ESPN’s per-bout figures over each fighter’s measured UFC bouts. Small samples move quickly: read each figure with the number of bouts behind it. Nothing here is adjusted for the level of past opponents.

Recent form

Grant Dawson

4-1 in last 5
  • W

    vs Mateusz Rębecki

    Submission · R3 · 4:42

    · UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland

    Sig. strikes 35 of 94 · Takedowns 1 of 3

  • L

    vs Manuel Torres

    KO/TKO · R1 · 2:25

    · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

    Sig. strikes 8 of 21 · Takedowns 0 of 2

  • W

    vs Diego Ferreira

    Decision - Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano

    Sig. strikes 56 of 98 · Takedowns 6 of 11

  • W

    vs Rafa Garcia

    KO/TKO · R2 · 1:42

    · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira

    Sig. strikes 44 of 90 · Takedowns 2 of 4

  • W

    vs Joe Solecki

    Decision - Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier

    Sig. strikes 46 of 70 · Takedowns 3 of 3

Nurullo Aliev

4-0 in last 4
  • W

    vs Mike Davis

    Decision - Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

    Sig. strikes 13 of 34 · Takedowns 8 of 13

  • W

    vs Shem Rock

    Decision - Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker

    Sig. strikes 51 of 117 · Takedowns 1 of 5

  • W

    vs Joe Solecki

    Decision - Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2

    Sig. strikes 35 of 88 · Takedowns 2 of 2

  • W

    vs Rafael Alves

    Decision - Majority · R3 · 5:00

    · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen

    Sig. strikes 19 of 45 · Takedowns 3 of 4

Statwell Intel

The full analysis is published.

Grant Dawson and Nurullo Aliev both build much of their UFC offence around wrestling and control. Dawson has the deeper submission-winning record; Aliev’s four UFC bouts have all reached decisions. The key question is who can turn the first grappling exchanges into effective offence, and how the other responds.

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  1. Style matchup

    Category by category: striking, wrestling, grappling, pace, durability and experience, with the reasoning behind each edge.

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  2. Tactical style clash

    How the two styles meet, the scenarios the fight can follow and the factor most likely to swing it.

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  3. Context flags

    Layoffs, short notice, weight, camp and stakes, each sourced and dated.

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  4. Trend splits

    Recent bouts against career figures, with sample sizes, and what the shifts mean.

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  5. Tactical evidence

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  6. Paths through the fight

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  7. Research summary

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  8. Performance vs Expectations

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