After a knockout loss, fighters have been stopped again more often

Since 2001, UFC fighters whose previous UFC bout ended in a KO/TKO loss were stopped by KO/TKO again in 485 of 2,043 next bouts (23.7%), against 16.7% for fighters in the same divisions who were not coming off one.

23.7%Next bouts lost by KO/TKO after a KO/TKO loss

485 of 2,043 · UFC bouts since 2001

Fighters in the same divisions not coming off a KO/TKO loss (division-adjusted): 16.7% (sample of 12,549)

In the last five years (25 Oct 2021 to 24 Oct 2026): 27.0% (178 of 659).

Wilson 95%: 21.9% to 25.6%

How this was measured

Each fighter's previous UFC bout from the UFC Stats record (doctor stoppages count as KO/TKO). The comparison rate is the KO/TKO-loss rate of all other fighters with a previous UFC bout, weighted to the same division mix (indirect standardisation).

Included

  • Fighter-bouts since 2001 with a winner
  • The fighter's previous UFC bout was a KO/TKO loss

Left out

  • Draws and no contests
  • UFC debuts (no previous UFC bout)
  • Catch weight or open weight (no division baseline) (0)

Caveats

  • Opponents are not matched: matchmaking after a knockout loss is not random.
  • Bouts outside the UFC between the two are not in the data.

How it was checked

  • Reproduced exactly by an independent re-implementation written from the definition alone (28 Oct 2026).
  • Survives the Benjamini–Hochberg correction across all 59 tested research hypotheses (q < 0.001).
  • Research catalog entry `ko_loss_stopped_again` (validated).

Sources and updates

Data as of 24 Oct 2026. Recalculated after UFC events and reviewed by an editor before any change is shown. A historical description, not a prediction for any fight.

In fight analyses

Every Statwell Pattern