Statwell

A five-fight UFC win streak has usually continued

Since 2001, fighters on a UFC win streak of five or more, facing an opponent who was not, won 339 of 537 bouts (63%).

63.1%Bouts won by the fighter on a 5+ UFC win streak against an opponent who was not

339 of 537 · UFC bouts since 2001

Wilson 95%: 59.0% to 67.1%

How this was measured

Streaks count consecutive UFC wins before the bout; draws and no contests leave a streak unchanged. Decided bouts since 2001 where exactly one fighter was on a streak of five or more.

Included

  • Decided UFC bouts since 2001
  • Exactly one fighter on a 5+ UFC win streak

Left out

  • Draws and no contests
  • Both fighters, or neither, on a 5+ streak (8,007)

Caveats

  • UFC bouts only.
  • Pre-fight expectations account for much of it (research: win_streak_5plus_market_adjusted).

How it was checked

  • Reproduced exactly by an independent re-implementation written from the definition alone (28 Oct 2026).
  • Survives the Benjamini–Hochberg correction across all 59 tested research hypotheses (q < 0.001).
  • Research catalog entry `win_streak_5plus` (validated).

Sources and updates

Data as of 24 Oct 2026. Recalculated after UFC events and reviewed by an editor before any change is shown. A historical description, not a prediction for any fight.

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